Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 1.717393e+00 2.082885 2.479189 2.937637 3.450190 4.002568 4.639819
2025-02-02 1.173916e+00 1.652093 2.219601 2.928589 3.776665 4.745446 5.922521
2025-02-09 7.697041e-01 1.273276 1.929421 2.811631 3.932586 5.277634 6.981495
2025-02-16 5.054385e-01 0.995879 1.699074 2.712696 4.071805 5.772105 8.000526
2025-02-23 3.499185e-01 0.823322 1.567281 2.708167 4.308810 6.379932 9.167567
2025-03-02 2.295386e-01 0.663105 1.415860 2.644743 4.445511 6.849455 10.163584
2025-03-09 1.752257e-01 0.601715 1.402974 2.773119 4.843869 7.668317 11.625608
2025-03-16 1.184447e-01 0.508887 1.316197 2.771737 5.047477 8.223821 12.750413
2025-03-23 9.386817e-02 0.480161 1.336679 2.938266 5.499549 9.128418 14.356529
2025-03-30 6.986597e-02 0.439444 1.325098 3.046358 5.863809 9.916607 15.819378
2025-04-06 4.793647e-02 0.389248 1.283171 3.094809 6.133731 10.574174 17.113825
2025-04-13 2.750099e-02 0.322558 1.189715 3.039115 6.232219 10.983165 18.069261
2025-04-20 1.736473e-02 0.287945 1.163392 3.106722 6.536358 11.708507 19.495033
2025-04-27 1.023411e-02 0.256249 1.136369 3.169103 6.833092 12.429766 20.929386
2025-05-04 3.731290e-03 0.203602 1.038566 3.080806 6.872303 12.766292 21.824238
2025-05-11 8.631971e-04 0.159603 0.947632 2.992663 6.902407 13.084818 22.694717
2025-05-18 1.342832e-04 0.134177 0.903639 2.996348 7.088055 13.641606 23.914751
2025-05-25 8.597225e-11 0.105113 0.833509 2.932597 7.148247 14.002537 24.852899
2025-06-01 NaN 0.100278 0.852510 3.072323 7.578397 14.948408 26.659932
2025-06-08 NaN 0.083075 0.813587 3.071905 7.751249 15.491142 27.879574
2025-06-15 NaN 0.082737 0.848511 3.250849 8.260387 16.575073 29.912888
2025-06-22 NaN 0.077261 0.857614 3.366818 8.654782 17.481718 31.692691
2025-06-29 NaN 0.067591 0.841732 3.418788 8.929609 18.200570 33.200339